From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Musandam
Subject: Weather 1/23/09
Date: 23/01/2009 15:23:44
To: Charles Darbyshire and crew of “Musandam”
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: 37 29s/90 44e at 1245utc Fri, Jan 23
Prepared: 1345utc Friday, January 23, 2009
SummaryÖ
1) Very nice 24 hrs. Strategy is still the same
a) we will sail this NW wind as much as we can, trying to not get too far
N while on port gybe, but
b) need to keep an eye on wind speed, as we don’t want to get too close
to the high and into too little wind speed
2) At 1200UTC today, high pressure is near 30-31S/90-92E and does not seem
to be a big
weather issue as it will move E over the next 2 days
a) cold front is located from 40-41S/95E to 39-40S/90E to 35S/80E ñ this
front should stay safely S and SW of you over the next 36-48hrs, but
3) I think wind directions may edge a little left Sat night/Sun morning,
roughly in the 09-1500UTC time
frame Sat
a) if this leftie occurs, let’s go to starboard ñ this gybe will get us a
little further S and a little more wind speed ahead of the next cold front
b) the leftie will be brief, probably no more than 6 hrs and as soon as
the winds start to veer/increase, then we go back to port gybe and as fast
as possible to the E
c) if this leftie does not occur/materialize, then we continue on port
gybe, but do not go N of 35S
4) Cold front arrives Mon night/Tue morning local time
a) cold front looks a little stronger than I though yesterday, but the
gusty/squally and unstable SW and WSW wind will last a bit longer than I
thought yesterday
b) it will also be very important for us to make some good southeasting,
once the cold front passes
as there will be a big high pressure area in the Tasman Sea, which in turn
means the high pressure cell coming out of the Great Australian Bight will
pass S of Tasmania midweek
c) bottom-line, once the cold front passes, we must get SE
5) Looks like another cold front approaching Wed/Thu, so winds will veer
into the NW, which means
back to port gybe, but we will need to be S and possibly/probably S of
45S by then
Routing
1) Fast as possible to the E on port gybe, but
2) If we get a leftie, TWD near 270-280, around 0900-1500UTC Sat, then a
period on starboard gybe
a) back to port gybe when winds veer
3) Sail as fast as possible on port gybe E of the cold fronts, but when cold
front passes late Mon/Tue,
we need fast SE on starboard gybe
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Fri, Jan 23
18: 285-310/15-21
WeatherÖPartly cloudy. Lots of clouds and scattered showers in the frontal
zone to the SW. Swell be W and WSW at 8-12 feet
Sat, Jan 24
00: 290-310/15-21
06: 290-310/16-22
12: 300-270/15-20, on starboard gybe near 36 10S/99 20E
18: 295-315/17-23 and on port gybe
WeatherÖPartly to mostly cloudy, but showers will be S of 37S. Swell W and
WSW at 6-10 feet
Sun, Jan 25
00: 300-320/20-26
06: 295-320/20-30
12: 290-300/20-30, as fast as possible E on port gybe near 37 30S107 50E
18: 290-310/18-24
WeatherÖPartly cloudy with W and WSW swell of 6-10 feet
Mon, Jan 26
00: 310-280/16-22
06: 300-270/15-20, maybe go to starboard on this leftie
12: 270-240/14-20, gust/squall 30 and on starboard near 38s/116e
18: 270-230/16-22, gust/squall 30
WeatherÖPartly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers/squalls as the cold
front moves thru, but trending to partly cloudy as winds become SW. Seas up
to 8-12 feet for a while from the W and SW
Tue, Jan 27
00: 260-230/17-23, gust/squall 30
06: 250-220/17-23
12: 250-220/14-20, near 41 20S/123 45E and may have to go on a steeper dive
to the SE
18: 220-250/13-18
WeatherÖPartly cloudy with SW seas of 6-9 feet and improving
Wed, Jan 28
00: 260-300/ 8-12, may have to be further S
12: 320-350/ 8-12, going to port near 44 30S/131E
WeatherÖPartly cloudy with W seas of 4-7 feet ñ cold front to the W, so
winds and seas should increase after 1200UTC, but must get S to get around
the high pressure cell
Best regards, Ken Campbell
—
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