Lat: 44 07.06′ S
Long: 21 08.09′ W
Inst Speed: 15.7
Wind Dir: 271
Wind Speed: 18.6000
Distance last 24hr: 421.2126249294398475
Distance to finish: 6924.8779999999997017
whacked by a wave setting off my lifejacket
sail repairs at sea
Don’t make it any worse

Email from the boat to shore: 

From: OmanTri
To: update
Subject: speed
Date: 23/02/2009 05:40:03


Morning,
i thought these updates would be easier to write when we were more in the
correct timezone for GMT, but it’s more dependent on my own sleep patten,
and the last couple of days I’ve been spending more time on deck at night as
condtions have been more challenging and 3 pairs of hands are better than
two, this throws my rhythm a bit, and seems to make it more difficult to
wake up and have 100% brain function than normal. Normally it’s a skill of
mine, to wake up and be immediately on the pace, ( both onshore and at sea).
So for now i’ve been a sleep for 2 hours, and woken to find it’s time to
charge the batteries ( run generator, by jumpstarting George as usual), get
something to eat, get something to drink, see if we are nearing the point of
a gybe to the north,go to loo and write an update……these conflicting
priorities need sorting out before i can do any of them, so far I have
managed a slurp of drink, got a shortbread biscuit to eat, decided we must
be close to the gybe, had a pee, started the generator, and am now writing
the update! All that an i’ve only been out of bed 7 mins!! ( remember that
getting out of bed means pulling on socks, boots, wet weather gear trousers,
thermal top, jacket, packing sleeping bag, all in the dark) Now you can
decide if i have been successful in doing a good update!! ( and may forgive
a poor one!)

The last 24 hours have seen some good sailing – making progress where we
want to go, and with pace, much of it with 1 reef and solent, with at times
the small staysail jib set. averaging high speeds, with Loik or Theirry
driving like maniacs at times. During a bit of on deck filming I was sat
behind Loik trying to get a helmsmans view of life when we got nailed by a
big wave… it landed all over Loik, and got me a cracker, so much force,
and so much water that it made my lifejacket inflate!!! So for the record
our Speed over the ground 24 average to no 5am was 17.97 kts ( 431nm through
the water) , our 12 hour average 16.31, and last 4 hours 14.81 as you
can see the speeds have slowed despite going to full mainsail and gennaker –
the winds and waves have dropped away as we move north closer to the center
of a high pressure that is passing to our north. Our overall plan is to
wait until our track is pretty much E, then gybe N and hook into some NW
winds on the W side of the high pressure after it’s moved E of our position.
Timing is critical, a gybe too early means heading straight into the center
of the High, and getting stuck, leaving it too late means not making enough
ground to the N to be in a good position for the storm to pass behind us
later in the week. We are working closely with Commanders Weather who are
preparing forecasts for us to ensure we make the right direction change at
the right time – sometime in the next 3 hours seems a likely bet.

Since our progress has been good we’ve been seeing where we are compared to
the 80 day pace boat (again), and at 2230 last night we passed a point
where the pace boat will be in 8 and 1/2 days time – so that’s a pretty
handy lead, and some chance the next couple of days to increase it a little
more – we need to in order to keep some to play with going into the final
1/4 of the trip up the indian ocean, which could be fast for us or slow,
we’ll not know that until we get there. However the inescabable truth of it
is that we are getting near and nearer to our goal of being back in Muscat.
Our daily food bags are packed into larger bags of 5, this morning i got
bag 46 out of big bag 46-50….and the mind starts whiring…. 50 days gone
( i know it hasn’t really but it says 50 on the outside of the bag! ) that’
5/8ths of the trip gone, but wait we are 8 days ahead, well that’s nearly 10
so 70 days total, so 5/7ths of trip gone! Now all this rounding up and
rounding down is giving a false impression, it’s the mind playing games.
(again) However we are getting there, and the closer we get the harder
failure will be to take. Before leaving Muscat I finished reading a book
by a leading TV presenter who is a die hard West Brom Fan, his book is all
about being a fan of a – shall we say ‘struggling’ football team, and
describes his feelings before a game, during and afterwards. He notes that
if they are loosing 1-0 in the first 10 mins, he quite enjoys the match,
knowing this was the outcome he’d have expected ( loosing) but if the result
was reversed in the first 10 mins then he’d spend the rest of the match in
agony waiting for the opposition to first equalise, then get one goal
ahead….. That’s a bit how this trip feels – you start of knowing that
the odds of making it round without stopping are pretty much against you –
history has told us that, and each day that passes in the early part of the
trip you are waiting for the thing to occour that might scupper your
chances – things like the early generator problems….. and in truth you
start to want them to be the reason to stop, just so you don’t have anything
more serious to deal with! but then you solve these problems one at a
time, and slowly slowly we keep going , and keep going passing the
milestones, ( and our chances of convenient stops ) and gradually the
belief grows – we can do this, we can make it, but just like the football
fan – we’ve gotta wait it out to the final whistle before knowing if we have
made… because we have seen in this winter’s Vendee Globe race it’s really
not finished until you cross the line, and for us that is still quite some
time away sure it’s getting closer, now just 6900nm but not getting to the
finish will be twice as gutting now as it would have been 7000nm ago. So we
are being extra careful in everything we do… just to make sure we don’t
make a mistake of our own in this final few weeks to the finish.

Weather Router’s advice: 

From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Musandam
Subject: weather
Date: 23/02/2009 14:27:27



To: Charles Darbyshire and the crew of
“Musandam”

From: Commanders Weather Corp

Event: sail around the world

Last Position: 43 12s/20 14w at 1200utc Mon Feb 23

Prepared: 1330utc Monday, Feb 23, 2009



SummaryÖ

1) NW to WNW flow next 18 hours

2) Flow has come around more to the right faster than the GFS model
indicates and is more right than latest run has

a) consequently, will go with the wind staying a little more right

4) High pressure off to the NW, near 40s/25w will track E and move to near
41s/5-6e at 1200utc Tuesday

5) Strong low pressure will be near 42 30s/31 30w at 12utc Tuesday

a) this low will intensify some more and head ESE

6) Expect the gale to be around 45s/13-14w at 12utc Wed

7) Wind clocks during Tues into Wed and flow increases ahead of the low

8) Strong N to NW winds then expected starting 09-12utc Wed thru 18utc
Thursday

a) wind speeds may reach 30-40 kts with some gusts to 50 kts ñ this most
likely 00-12utc Thursday

9) Front will pass by 00utc Fri

a) will likely be squally along/ahead of the front

10) Wind shifts to the WSW and SW behind the front

11) GFS takes low down to around 46s, but think it may be a little further N
(ie, closer to 45s), so we still want to watch it and make sure it passes to
the S

12) Will be a very rough period Thurs with strong winds and big seas

13) The Aghulas current loop is near 40S/20 30E.

a) it then extends NE to 38S/30W ñ this is very favorable current with
speeds up to 2-3 kts heading towards the ENE

b) unfavorable current north of 39s between 20-25e and more unfavorable
current around 39-40s/29-33e

14) With the SW and WSW flow, we will likely keep to the south thru 20e
then start heading more NE as the flow backs over the weekend



RoutingÖ

1) Have you heading ENE thru 12utc Tues then trending more E

2) A more E to ESE movement with the more N flow around/after 00utc Wed then
ENE again as wind backs ahead of the cold front

3) Figure to aim around 41 30s-42s/12 30w to 42 30s-43s/0w

4) some estimated positions below



Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC

Mon, Feb 23 ñ less wind to the N, stronger to the S

18: 300-320/10-15

WeatherÖPartly cloudy.

Seas 7-8 ft ñ from the WSW



Tue, Feb 24

00: 300-320/10-15

06: 310-330/ 8-14

12: 320-340/12-17 near 41 55S/12 30W

18: 325-345/11-16

WeatherÖVariable clouds with a few showers late.

Seas becoming NW at 5-7 ft



Wed, Feb 25

00: 350-015/15-20

06: 350-010/16-22

12: 360-020/20-30 near 42 30S/03 10W

18: 360-020/22-32

WeatherÖVariable clouds.

NW-NNW seas increasing to 9-14 feet



Thu, Feb 26

00: 350-010/25-35, gusts 40

06: 330-350/30-40, gusts 45

12: 320-300/28-38, gust/squall 40-45, near 42S/07 10E

18: 300-270/20-30

WeatherÖCloudy with scattered showers/squalls developing.

Seas becoming NW-W at 12-18 feet



Fri, Feb 27

00: 240-260/20-25 – cold front has passed

06: 230-250/20-25

12: 240-260/15-22, near 43 45S/16 40E

18: 240-260/12-18

Weather…Variable clouds with a few showers, mainly 1st part of the day.

W seas diminshing to 8-10 feet



Sat, Feb 28

00: 260-280/10-15

12: 160-180/ 8-15, near 41 20S/24E

WeatherÖPartly cloudy



Best regards, George Caras



PLEASE NOTE: AS OF JANUARY 1, 2008, OUR NEW EMAIL ADDRESS IS :
info@commandersweather.com
Commanders Weather Corp.
Tel: 603-882-6789

A selection of pictures from today: