From: Commanders’ Weather <info@
To: Musandam <omantri@
Subject: Weather update Thu 1-15
Date: 15/01/2009 16:18:40
Charles,
Glad everything is going ok. The pattern is looking pretty
good for you to get south of the Indian Ocean high. Lets
hope it works out that way. We just routed Felipe Cubillos and Manuel
Gonzales in the Portimao Ocean Race across the Indian Ocean from Cape Town
to Wellington. They more or less stayed between 43-46s. However they did
end up a little closer (45s) to Tasmania and in a little bit of a wind
hole for a short time. Will have to be careful we do not do the same thing.
Also a word about Cook Strait. 6 utc Grib file from Wed had a northerly at
Wellington today at 10 kts – it has been 20-30 kts past 6-12 hrs. Winds
can be much stronger there.
Not much we can do with the ice situation as far as iceberg locations. Seem
to remember Ellen encountering some down around 50s
near and E of New Zealand.
Tom Mattus – CWC
From: Commanders’ Weather <info@
To: , Musandam <omantri@
Subject: weather Thu 1-15
Date: 15/01/2009 14:15:49
To: Charles Darbyshire and crew of “Musandam”
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: 8 09s/ 71 04e at 1330utc Thu, Jan 15, 2009
Prepared: 1400utc Thu, Jan 15, 2009
SummaryÖExpect winds will back to SE-E next 24 hours and begin to build for
good after 6 utc Fri.
1) Looks like you had a nice southerly around 12 utc.
2) Satellite pictures show there are squalls around so winds likely shifty
with variable wind speeds
next 12-18 hours.
3) Your increasing breeze will first come from E to W so easting ok next 12
hours as winds in general
back.
4) When it goes past 140 you can go onto port and head S ñ probably around
00 utc.
5) Should get into stronger easterlies around 6-12 utc Fri and then heading
fast as possible S.
6) We have you doing this around 73e but a little E or W of there is ok as
the E trade wind regime
expands nicely to the W.
7) Nice trade wind sailing Sat/Sun and into Mon with breeze up to 20 kts at
times.
a) Direction mainly easterly but will oscillate ENE-ESE
8) Next concern will be not getting sucked into the big high to your S.
a) Routing software can sometimes take you into and thru the
high so need to be careful with
that.
9) This high 12 utc Fri near 33s/70-80e moves to 34-35s/ 85-90e by early
next week.
10) There will be a ridge axis to the W with lighter winds to the W.
a) E Winds back to NE-N then NW as you cross this ridge
axis.
b) Speeds drop to 10 kts or less.
11) Would like to see you down south of 35s and into increasing
westerlies before
actively heading E
RoutingÖ Heading SE-E on starboard then as winds back past 140 can go onto
Port and head
S(probably around 00 utc Fri)
Then head S at best boat speed.
Need to be careful about getting sucked into high
pressure next week so do not want
you E of 75e by next Monday.
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Thurs, Jan 15 ñ winds backing slowly
18: 160-140/ 8-12
WeatherÖVariable cloudiness with scattered squally showers around
Seas 2-4 ft
Fri, Jan 16
00: 140-120/ 10-5- tack to port and heading S
06: 080-100/ 10-15
12: 070-090/ 12-17 nr 12s/73e
18: 070-090/ 12-17
WeatherÖVariable cloudiness with scattered squally showers
SeasÖincrease to 3-6 ft E swell
Sat, Jan 17
00: 080-100/ 12-17
06: 080-100/ 12-20
12: 090-110/ 12-20 nr 18s/ 74e
18: 070-090/ 12-17
WeatherÖPartly cloudy brief scattered trade wind shower possible
Seas 3-6 ft
Sun, Jan 18
00: 080-100/ 12-17
06: 080-100/ 15-20
12: 090-110/ 15-20 nr 24s/ 74e
18: 090-110/ 17-22
WeatherÖPartly cloudy , brief scattered trade wind shower possible
Seas 6-9 ft and confused with W wind waves and S swell developing
Mon, Jan 19
00: 100-120/ 15-20
06: 090-110/ 12-17
12: 070-090/ 10-15 nr 30s/ 74e
18: 060-080/ 8-12
WeatherÖPartly cloudy
SeasÖ5-7 ft E swell
Tue, Jan 20 ñneed to be careful about getting sucked E into high
00: 360-020/ 6-10
12: 320-340/ 9-13 nr 34s/ 76e ñ on starboard and may still need to head S
WeatherÖPartly cloudy
SeaÖ 4-6 ft
Best regards,
Tom Mattus
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