From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Musandam
Subject: Weather 3/8/09
Date: 08/03/2009 13:30:18
To: Charles Darbyshire and the crew of
ìMusandamî
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: 20 27s/60 54e at 1200utc Sun, Mar 8
Prepared: 1230utc Sunday, March 8, 2009
SummaryÖ
1) You continue to exceed expectations ñ very good!
2) 2 areas of convection today
a) 1st is near 14-16S/80-82E. It is moving SE. A strong low is not
expected, but even if it did form, it would not bother us
b) lots of convection just E and SE of Sri Lanka. Donít expect much to
form here, but even if something did form, it should not bother us
3) Watch your satellite imagery
a) broken band of clouds from 9-10S/70E to 5-6S/50-60E. This is a
convergence line ñ there is a big wind shift across this line, probably SSE
veering into the WNW
b) where this line is concentrated, will be the shortest/smallest
transition into the westerlies
c) would like to get into the westerlies asap and then head straight N,
so 10S/65E looks good right now
3) Not keen on going too far E of 65E/south of 10S
a) will hit the westerlies near and just N of 10S
b) conditions look very bad near the Maldives, east of 70E, so donít want
to be too far E too soon with a transition into the westerlies just N of 10S
c) keep in mind, the W and NW winds will veer into the N and NE. We will
tack on a NNE wind
4) By Wed ñ Fri, looks like the best winds N of the Equator will be W of
60E, but these will be NE and
ENE winds, so would head towards Somalia (not a good place)
a) trying to find a balance between stronger NE and ENE west of 60E and
the moderate NE winds between 60-65E
b) weather models look horrible N of 10N between 60-65E at this time
c) the weather models are not terribly reliable in this area of the
world, so not trying to avoid 10-15N/60-65E at this time, but if it
continues to look bad, we will sail deeper angles on Wed ñ Fri and go
further W
Routing
1) Will work over to 65E before 10S then N
2) Do not want to go as far E as 70E both S and N of the equator
3) Will be tacking to starboard when winds are 360-030, depending on whether
we sail
N between 60-65E or we need to go further
a) donít need to decide this until Wed
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Sun, Mar 8
18: 100-120/12-17
WeatherÖFair skies and an E-ESE sea 4-7 feet
Mon, Mar 9
00: 110-130/11-16
06: 100-120/11-16
12: 130-160/14-7, near 14S/63E and still on starboard
18: 120-150/ 7-11
WeatherÖFair to partly cloudy with ESE seas of 3-5 feet
Tue, Mar 10
00: 140-170/ 5-9
06: 130-190/ 4-7, maybe gybing to go N
12: 210-270/ 4-8 on port and going straight N, near 10S/65E
18: 230-270/ 5-9
WeatherÖPartly cloudy, chc of a shower or 2. Brief gusts, but more wind
holes than gusts around these showers. Seas variable at 2-4 feet
Wed, Mar 11
00: 270-310/ 5-9
06: 270-310/ 5-9 and on port tack
12: 310-350/ 7-11 near 3 50S/68E
18: 360-020/ 8-12 and tacking
WeatherÖPartly cloudy. Maybe a spot shower. NW-N seas 3-5 feet
Thu, Mar 12
00: 010-030/ 9-13
06: 020-040/ 9-13
12: 020-050/ 8-12, near 1N/64 55E ñ have you going N between 60-65E, but if
you need to go further W, we can since we are upwind
18: 030-060/ 7-11
WeatherÖPartly cloudy. Maybe a spot shower. N to NE seas of 3-5 feet
Fri, Mar 13
00: 040-070/ 8-12
12: 050-080/ 7-11, near 6N/63E
WeatherÖPartly cloudy to fair with NE seas of 3-5 feet or less
Best regards, Ken Campbell
—
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