From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Musandam
Subject: weather 1430 utc Fri 2-6
Date: 06/02/2009 14:42:27
To: Charles Darbyshire and the crew of
“Musandam”
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: near 47 02s/161 11w at 13 utc Fri Feb 6, 2009
Prepared: 1400utc Fri Feb 6, 2009
SummaryÖLots of wind and sea in the week ahead.
1) High pressure is centered north near 40s/165e at 12 utc.
2) This high will stretch out to the E and weaken over the next few days.
3) Your breeze will tend to diminish a little and also clock to W-WNW next
12-18 hours.
4) Then as frontal system approaches from the W your wind will increase and
continue to clock to NW
Sat.
a) We have you heading E on port gybe close to 47s
5) If you continue to move close to 20 kts you will stay ahead of this front
possibly into early next week.
6) GFS model guidance has low pressure near 46 30s/125e heading SE early
next week.
7) We have to be careful we do not get into the circulation of this low so
at this time recommend turning
more ESE as winds back to NNW Sunday /Monday.
a) This will keep you S of the ice gate so keep an eye out
for Icebergs/growlers as you get
east of 150w
8) Your winds will diminish Monday but if all goes well you will stay away
from adverse winds from the
low which will track SE northeast of your expected positions.
9) Then attention will turn to a large low to your SW which will be near
55s/150w at 12 utc Mon.
a) This low will track to 56s/ 125 e by 12 utc
Tue and to 57s/ 105e by 12 utc Wed.
10) This system is large and will be tough to avoid its strong winds and
high seas.
11) Could see very rough conditions develop 00-12 utc Tuesday with NW winds
35-50 kts and seas
building to 15-25 ft.
12) Will monitor this to see how best to handle it next few days ñ it may be
better to get even further S
mid to late week closer to low to minimize winds and seas.
RoutingÖ some southing thru 00 utc then onto port as winds back to NW and
heading E close to 47s
Thru 00 utc Sun.
Around 00 utc Sun you may need to edge S as winds clock
to NNW to avoid possible low
Tracking SE to your NE
You will remain S of the eastern ice gate Sat night/Sunday
by 100-150 miles so keep an
eye out for possible icebergs/growlers.
Continue with some southing first half of the week and
may need to get further mid to late
week as winds and seas will be less closer to the low to
your S.
Estimated positions listed below
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Fri, Feb 6
18: 250-270/ 25-32
WeatherÖvariable cloudy with a squally shower possible
Seas near 15 ft, wind wave chop with SW swell
Sat, Feb 7 ñ increasing W-NW to NW wind ahead of cold front ñ now on port
00: 260-280/ 22-30
06: 280-300/ 22-30
12: 290-310/ 25-35 nr 47s/151 30w
18: 300-320/ 30-40
WeatherÖPartly cloudy to cloudy
Seas 12-17 ft, rough chop with SW swell
Sun, Feb 8 ñ NW wind ahead of cold front, but diminishing late as front
nears
00: 310-330/30-40
06: 310-330/30-40
12: 320-340/30-40 nr 47 30n/140w
18: 320-340/25-35
WeatherÖMostly cloudy with risk scattered squally showers and gusts over 40
kts
Seas 10-15 ft, SW swell
Mon, Feb 9
00: 330-350/25-32
06: 330-350/25-20
12: 330-350/18-25 nr 50 s/130w
18: 320-340/22-30
WeatherÖConsiderable cloudiness, squally showers possible
Seas 10-15 ft, SW swell
Tue, Feb 10
00: 320-340/25-35
06: 320-340/30-40
12: 320-340/35-45 nr 52s/117w
18: 300-320/30-40
WeatherÖConsiderable cloudiness, squally showers possible
Seas building to 15-20 ft
Outlook for Wed Feb 11
00: 290-310/ 25-35
12: 280-300/ 25-35 nr 53s/ 103w
WeatherÖConsiderable cloudiness
Seas 15-25 ft- less to south closer to low.
Best regards, Tom Mattus
—
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