From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Charles Darbyshire , updateoman ,Musandam
Subject: weather resend
Date: 29/01/2009 15:01:09
To: Charles Darbyshire and the crew of
“Musandam”
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: 47 16s/137 01e at 1130utc Thurs, Jan 29
Prepared: 1300utc Thursday, Jan 29, 2009
Summary
Will have to see how pattern is shaping up over the next couple of days
whether to go towards the Cook Strait or further south ñ will have to watch
speed of the high ñ potential is for some easterlies around the Cook Strait,
though ñ have done option for either course and figure we can make a
decision tomorrow or Sat depending on how things look with the newer data
1) NW flow will be backing over the next 12-24 hours
2) Flow will become fairly light around 00utc Fri and stay that way thru
12utc
a) will have stronger wind to the south, lighter to the north
3) Winds will become more W and WSW as well
a) figure to come more ESE around 00utc Fri and then on port around 12utc
Fri with clocking wind
4) The NW or WNW wind will not last all that long though, with winds again
backing around 18utc Fri and becoming more WSW
5) Increasing SW wind is then likely during Sat
a) front will approach and pass around 18utc Sat
b) will have some gusty SW flow and also a few squalls around
6) Will then watch high pressure that will be coming east behind the front
7) The high will be close to 46-47s/138e at12utc Sat and then head towards
46-47s/155e by 12utc Sun
8) The high will continue to head towards NZ and tend to redevelop east of
there as we get to early next week
9) We will want to stay E of the high
10 The question then is does the flow become NE to E for a time around the
Cook Strait
11) With the high reforming east of NZ early next week, a period of NE or E
flow is likely
a) probably will be light and should then back into the NW as we get to
later Tues
RoutingÖ
Towards 46 15s/141e then on ESE heading to near 46 50s/145e then to 46s/153
30e ñ around 18utc Sat we shift course more NE and head towards 40-40
40s/170e to the Cook Strait
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Thu, Jan 29 ñ Winds lighter N and stronger S
18: 300-270/11-16
WeatherÖPartly cloudy to cloudy with a chance of a couple squally showers.
SW swell of 5-8 feet
Fri, Jan 30 ñ Winds lighter N and stronger S
00: 280-250/ 8-14, on starboard
06: 270-300/10-15 – wind more left and lighter to the N
12: 310-330/10-15, near 46 50s/145e ñon port
18: 300-270/12-18, getting ready to gybe
WeatherÖVariable clouds with a few widely scattered showers.
W-SW swell 5-7 feet
Sat, Jan 31
00: 240-260/12-18, gust/squall to 20-25 kts
06: 230-250/18-25, gust/squall to 30 kts
12: 230-250/20-28, near 46s/153 20e
18: 230-210/20-30
WeatherÖConsiderable cloudiness with scattered squally showers.
WSW swell of 8-10 feet
Sun, Feb 1
00: 200-180/20-25, heading more ENE
06: 170-190/17-22, heading more NE as flow backs
12: 150-170/14-19, near 44 55s/162 10e
18: 150-170/14-20 trying to stay ahead of the high
WeatherÖPartly cloudy
Seas 5-7 ft
Mon, Feb 2
00: 170-190/20-25
06: 180-200/15-20
12: 340-360/10-15, near 40 35s/170e
18: 060-080/ 8-14
Partly cloudy.
Seas 5-7 ft
Tues, Feb 3
00: 350-010/ 6-12 passing thru Cook Strait
12: 310-330/10-15, near 42s/177e
Best regards, George Caras
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