From: Commanders’ Weather
To: Charles Darbyshire , Musandam ,updateoman
Subject: weather Tue 3-3
Date: 03/03/2009 13:38:20
To: Charles Darbyshire and the crew of
ìMusandamî
From: Commanders Weather Corp
Event: sail around the world
Last Position: 41 25s/40 08e at 1130utc Tue, Mar 3
Prepared: 1300utc Tue, March 3, 2009
SummaryÖAnother 24 hours of rough conditions then things will improve.
1) High pressure near 40s/54e at 12 utc with front approaching from the W ñ
at your latitude now over
to 34e.
2) Your winds at 12 utc are still 040 which is further right than indicated
by 6 utc GFS.
3) Do expect your winds will slowly back into the N next 24 hours but wind
speeds will stay
up at 25-35 kts with some higher gusts possible.
a) Continue eastward with most comfortable heading.
4) Expect the high will continue to shift eastward and the front will get
close by 12 utc Thu but both
systems will be weakening.
5) So your winds will drop off significantly to 10-15 kts as the front limps
thru you around or after 12 utc
Thu.
a) Will be increased chance of a few squally showers.
6) Wind will back thru W to SW-S and then eventually into the SE by 00 utc
Fri.
a) But speeds will remain light and there could be a
scattered squally shower or 2.
7) Do not see any significant increase in wind speeds until near and after
00 utc Sat when new high
pressure following the front builds NE toward your expected position.
8) Wind speeds build to 18-25 kts by 12 utc Sat and continue strong up to
20s before diminishing .
a) Direction will be SE so you will be making good time
northward toward your waypoint
of 450 miles east of Reunion.
RoutingÖHead E next 24 hours then more NE as winds back.
Once into increasing SE winds by the weekend can aim for
your waypoint 450 miles E of
Reunion (21s/63e)
Estimated positions below.
Wind directions are TRUE, wind speed in kts, and time is UTC
Tue, Mar 3
18: 040-020/30-40
WeatherÖPartly to mostly cloudy
SeasÖ12-18 feet
Wed, Mar 4
00: 020-360/25-35
06: 350-010/25-35
12: 350-010/25-35 nr 40 05s/49 50e
18: 340-360/25-35, winds light to the N
WeatherÖPartly to mostly cloudy.
SeasÖ10-15ft
Thu, Mar 5
00: 330-350/22-30
06: 320-340/25-18 – winds diminish
12: 280-240/ 5-15, nr 38s/56e Front passing thru
18: 180-160/ 8-12
WeatherÖPartly to mostly cloudy with a few squally showers possible.
SeasÖ NW-N diminishing to 6-8 feet with an increasing SW swell.
Fri, Mar 6
00: 130-150/ 5-10
06: 120-140/ 8-12
12: 110-130/ 9-13, nr 35s/60e
18: 100-120/ 8-12
Weather…Variable cloudiness , scattered shower or 2 possible
Seas… 6-9 ft
Sat, Mar 7
00: 100-120/10-15
06: 100-120/15-20
12: 110-130/18-25, nr 29 30s/63e
18: 110-130/18-25
WeatherÖPartly cloudy, maybe a brief squally trade shower .
SeasÖ 8-12 ft
Sun, Mar 8
00: 110-130/ 18-25
12: 110-130/ 18-25 nr 23n/ 63e
WeatherÖVariable cloudiness with brief squally trade wind shower.
SeasÖ8-12 ft
Best regards, Tom Mattus
—
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